Offensive Roy Odds
All NFL Offensive Rookie of The Year betting odds are according to FanDuel Sportsbook. 2013 NFL Offensive ROY Odds and Predictions - NFL Rookie of the Year Favorites Skip to content USA Players: Bet Sports at Bovada and get $250 FREE on 1st Deposit!
Since 1957, AP sportswriters have been voting on the NFL Rookie of the Year award. However, in 1967, they began dividing it up into offensive ROY and defensive ROY.
This year, the race for the Offensive Rookie of the Year was a dramatic one. Although it’s almost a foregone conclusion as to who will win the award now that the 2020 season is about to end, there’s still plenty to discuss and debate.
With one weekend left in the regular season, NFL betting sites have released their updated odds on this award. Let’s huddle to examine these odds and make an award winning prediction.
Previous Offensive ROY Winners
Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray is the reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year. The following is a list of the previous winners dating back to 2010:
- 2010 – Sam Bradford (QB) St. Louis Rams
- 2011 – Cam Newton (QB) Carolina Panthers
- 2012 – Robert Griffin III (QB) Washington Football Team
- 2013 – Eddie Lacy (RB) Green Bay Packers
- 2014 – Odell Beckham Jr. (WR) New York Giants
- 2015 – Todd Gurley (RB) St. Louis Rams
- 2016 – Dak Prescott (QB) Dallas Cowboys
- 2017 – Alvin Kamara (RB) New Orleans Saints
- 2018 – Saquon Barkley (RB) New York Giants
- 2019 – Kyler Murray (QB) Arizona Cardinals
Stefon Diggs wants to see Justin Jefferson win Offensive Rookie of the Year.
It's so rare to see a trade work out for both teams. ? pic.twitter.com/LsYzwwkaVm
— NFL Update (@MySportsUpdate) December 25, 2020
Preseason Offensive ROY Odds and Joe Burrow
The following preseason Offensive Rookie of the Year betting odds were from FanDuel:
- Joe Burrow (+230)
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire (+360)
- Tua Tagovailoa (+800)
- Jonathan Taylor (+1000)
- Antonio Gibson (+1200)
- Ceedee Lamb (+1500)
- D’Andre Swift (+1500)
- Jerry Jeudy (+1500)
- Ke’Shawn Vaughn (+1500)
- Cam Akers (+2000)
- Denzel Mims (+2000)
- Henry Ruggs III (+2000)
- Jalen Reagor (+2000)
- Justin Herbert (+2000)
- Justin Jefferson (+2000)
As you can see, FanDuel along with other football betting sites had Joe Burrow listed as the odds on favorite to win this year’s Offensive Rookie of the Year award.
At the halfway mark of the season, it was clear that Burrow was the favorite to win this award. Sadly, his season was cut short by a devastating knee injury after 10 games.
Yet, he had impressive numbers through those 10 weeks: 2,688 yards, 13 TDs, 5 INTs, and a 65.3 completion percentage. Burrow was looking every bit the part of a franchise QB and not a rookie. He also had the Bengals competing each and every week.
I have no doubt that Burrow would’ve won this award if he didn’t get injured.
Other Players That Fizzled Out
Clyde Edwards-Helaire (+360) started off hot, but fizzled out in the second half of the season as the Kansas City Chiefs are a pass first team. Then he suffered an injury which certainly hurt his chances of getting back into the conversation.
Ceedee Lamb (+1500) was the benefactor of a fast start by the Cowboys on offense this season, but after Dak Prescott suffered a season ending injury, the entire offense suffered including Lamb’s chances of winning this award.
Running backs Antonio Gibson (+1200), D’Andre Swift (+1500), and Cam Akers (+2000) have all flashed potential as they’ve put together some impressive stretches this season. Unfortunately, their statistical success has fallen short of the totality by the three players listed below.
Offensive ROY Betting Odds
The following betting odds are courtesy of BetOnline:
- Justin Herbert (-2000)
- Jonathan Taylor (+900)
- Justin Jefferson (+900)
Justin Herbert (-2000)
As a fan of Herbert, since his days at Oregon, it’s exciting to see how great he’s done in his rookie year. Since getting the start in Week 2, Herbert has exceeded all expectations coming into the 2020 season. As you can see above, he was a +2000 longshot to win this award.
Yet, despite being the backup at the start of the year, Herbert has showed that this league isn’t too big for him or that the speed of the game isn’t too fast for him.
In 14 games, Herbert has 4,034 passing yards which is 7th best in the league. He also has 28 TDs, 10 INTs, a 68.1 QBR, and a 66.3 completion percentage. These are numbers that make him a Top 10 QB and not a rookie.
If the Chargers had a better offensive line, a healthy Austin Ekeler all season, and a better defense this team would’ve definitely have a better record than 6-9 on the year and 5-9 with Herbert as a starter.
The Chargers are a season away from being a Playoff contender due to Herbert. With a good draft and a strong Free Agency, this team could be a force to be reckoned with next season.
Jonathan Taylor (+900)
Of the three realistic candidates for this award, running back Jonathan Taylor was the only one who lived up to the preseason expectations. He was listed at +1000 prior to the start of the season. And, at the end, he’s listed at +900.
Coming out of Wisconsin, Taylor received some hype for going to the Colts as they had a solid offense which included a great offensive line. The rookie didn’t disappoint.
Jonathan Taylor has a 37% forced missed tackle rate over the last 4 weeks
Highest among all RBs pic.twitter.com/TAC3GKaGxS
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) December 25, 2020
In 14 games this season, Taylor has rushed for 916 yards and 9 TDs. He has a 4.5 average yard per carry and also has 35 receptions for 298 yards and 1 TD.
Taylor will play in the final week of the 2020 season. I expect him to eclipse the 1,000 yard rushing mark and score at least one TD as the Colts should pummel the Jaguars.
Justin Jefferson (+900)
Justin Jefferson is trying to become the first receiver to win this award since ODB Jr. did it in 2014. He’s also trying to become the 9th WR to ever win this award.
Jefferson has had a stellar season as a rookie wideout. Like Odell Beckham Jr., Jefferson also played at LSU. However, I would argue that Jefferson’s rookie season is better than what ODB did in 2014.
Justin Jefferson is the first rookie WR with 1,200 yards and 7 Rec TD since Odell Beckham Jr. in 2014.
The only other rookies to do that in the last 60 years are Anquan Boldin (2003) and Randy Moss (1998), who also did it with the Vikings. pic.twitter.com/kdPnRs9HKu
— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) December 25, 2020
Beckham finished with 91 receptions for 1,305 yards, 12 TDs and a 14.3 ypc average.
With one game left, Jefferson has 79 receptions for 1,267 yards, 7 TDs, and 16.0 ypc average.
What makes Jefferson’s numbers so impressive is that he’s playing on a run first team and with an inconsistent QB.
Offensive Roy Odds Nfl
If it weren’t for Herbert, Jefferson would be the clear cut frontrunner for this award.
Who Will Be the Offensive Rookie of the Year?
It’s pretty clear, but for those that aren’t sure, Los Angeles Chargers QB Justin Herbert will win this award. His numbers are fantastic for a rookie on a team filled with holes on the o-line and on the defense. Yet, he has given this team every chance to win games except for that Patriots blowout.
Justin Herbert just threw his 28th TD pass, passing Baker Mayfield for the most by a rookie in NFL history. pic.twitter.com/xAdyRPXC5A
Offensive Roy Odds Against
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) December 27, 2020
Herbert is a franchise QB and is going to make the Chargers into a Playoff contender as early as next year, provided that they have a solid offseason.
Although there’s no value with his odds, this is Herbert’s award even if he doesn’t play in Week 17.
2013 NFL Offensive ROY Odds and Predictions – NFL Rookie of the Year Favorites: To say that the 2012 rookie class set the bar high for future classes might be the understatement of the century. After all, rookie quarterbacks Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin III and Russell Wilson all led their teams to the playoffs with Luck setting a record for passing yards by a rookie, RG3 setting a rookie record for QB rating and Wilson tying Peyton Manning’s record for touchdown passes by a rookie. Meanwhile, running back Doug Martin ranked fifth in the NFL in rushing, and Trent Richardson ranked fifth in rushing scores. Heck, even receiver T.Y. Hilton was impressive, topping 800 yards and ranking fifth in the NFL in yards per catch. Griffin ultimately took home Offensive Rookie of the Year honors, but in most years, any of the above mentioned players could have won the award. Whether or not this year’s rookie class can live up to the standards set by last year’s class remains to be seen, but in the meantime, here are the frontrunners for the 2013 Offensive Rookie of the Year Award heading into the 2013 NFL season.
The Favorites
It is looking more and more like quarterback E.J. Manuel will open the year as the starter for the Buffalo Bills, and as the only rookie QB that is likely to start all season, he has a chance to stand out from the pack. After all, no position on the field has more chances to make plays, and Manuel’s running ability gives him even more chances than most. Meanwhile, the weapons around him aren’t bad, and if Manuel can just make the Bills respectable in 2013, Rookie of the Year honors are very possible.
The St, Louis Rams were in desperate need of an explosive playmaker on offense so they traded up to the No. 8 pick to land receiver Tavon Austin. Plain and simple, Austin is blazing fast, and he can turn any touch into six points. Playing for an offense that is lacking in weapons, Austin is set to get plenty of targets in the passing game and even some carries out of the backfield. A big year in terms of yards from scrimmage could be on tap, and the highlight-reel plays he is sure to produce won’t hurt his chance of winning Rookie of the Year honors either.
The Dark Horses
It seems like the Houston Texans have been searching for a No. 2 receiver ever since Andre Johnson was drafted, and they may have finally found the answer in first-round pick DeAndre Hopkins. His athleticism and strength already has him penciled in as the starter opposite Johnson, and with Johnson drawing every opponent’s best corner and constant double teams, Hopkins should have plenty of chances to beat his man and make plays. If he makes enough plays, Rookie of the Year honors could be headed his way.
While the Denver Broncos’ high-powered offense revolves around the arm of Peyton Manning, the star QB isn’t afraid to hand the ball off when the defense tries to stop the passing game. In fact, Manning tends to favor running the ball down around the goal line. Second-round pick Montee Ball should be a major beneficiary, and the same combination of power and vision that allowed him to thrive between the tackles and find the end zone at a record pace in college should translate to the NFL. A double-digit touchdown campaign isn’t out of the question, and neither are Rookie of the Year honors for Ball.
Hoping to jumpstart their offense, the Cincinnati Bengals used their first-round pick on tight end Tyler Eifert. Not only is Eifert the best tight end in his rookie class, but he is athletic and polished enough to line up as a receiver at times. Granted, incumbent Jermaine Gresham is also a quality player at the position, but the Bengals didn’t spend a first-round pick on Eifert not to give him his chances. With star receiver A.J. Green sure to garner a lot of attention from opposing defenses, Eifert will have winnable matchups on almost every snap. It is very possible that he becomes the Bengals’ second-best option in the passing game as soon as this year, and if that happens, Rookie of the Year honors are also very possible.
The Sleeper
The Pittsburgh Steelers have lost their identity a bit on the offensive side of the ball in recent years, but after retooling the offensive line in the 2012 draft, they grabbed running back Le’Veon Bell in the second round of this year’s draft. Bell is a prototypical Pittsburgh back, and will he may not run away from opponents, he will run them over and wear them down. Bell has a good chance to earn a bulk of the carries, and a solid season of 1,000 or so yards and 8-10 scores could be more than enough to earn him the Rookie of the Year Award.
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Odds to win the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year
Montee Ball +450
Tavon Austin +500
DeAndre Hopkins +700
Eddie Lacy +750
LeVeon Bell +900
EJ Manuel +1000
Tyler Eifert +1200
Giovani Bernard +1250
Geno Smith +1500
Cordarrelle Patterson +1550
Robert Woods +1600
Johnathan Franklin +1750
Denard Robinson +1850
Justin Hunter +2000
Stedman Bailey +2000
Zach Ertz +2000
Keenan Allen +2300
Luke Joeckel +3000
Eric Fisher +3000
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